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dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1951/59719
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11401/71289
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work is sponsored by the Stony Brook University Graduate School in compliance with the requirements for completion of degree.en_US
dc.formatMonograph
dc.format.mediumElectronic Resourceen_US
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.publisherThe Graduate School, Stony Brook University: Stony Brook, NY.
dc.typeDissertation
dcterms.abstract<p>Prospect theory tells us that humans pay more attention to losses than to comparable gains. My dissertation seeks to apply this insight to the field of retrospective voting and in particular economic voting. </p> <p>First, I develop a formal model of asymmetric retrospective voting which allows for incorporating loss aversion. Then, the empirical implications of this theoretical model are tested using a variety of methodological approaches. First, the model's predictions about human behavior are tested directly in a laboratory experiment using a simplified version of the asymmetric retrospective voting model. In a second step, the analytical focus is widened, turning from the individual to the aggregate level: Using monthly time-series data, the asymmetric retrospective voting model is tested using the reaction of aggregate vote intentions to changes in economic conditions and evaluations. In a final step, using the broadest lens, the implications of the model with respect to the "cost of ruling", i.e. the empirical phenomenon of declining vote shares for incumbent governments, are tested using a large cross-national sample of elections.</p>
dcterms.available2013-05-22T17:34:54Z
dcterms.available2015-04-24T14:46:54Z
dcterms.contributorTaber, Charles S.en_US
dcterms.contributorLebo, Matthew J.en_US
dcterms.contributorSmirnov, Olegen_US
dcterms.contributorMeffert, Michaelen_US
dcterms.creatorKappe, Roland
dcterms.dateAccepted2013-05-22T17:34:54Z
dcterms.dateAccepted2015-04-24T14:46:54Z
dcterms.dateSubmitted2013-05-22T17:34:54Z
dcterms.dateSubmitted2015-04-24T14:46:54Z
dcterms.descriptionDepartment of Political Scienceen_US
dcterms.extent134 pg.en_US
dcterms.formatMonograph
dcterms.formatApplication/PDFen_US
dcterms.identifierKappe_grad.sunysb_0771E_11244en_US
dcterms.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/1951/59719
dcterms.identifierhttp://hdl.handle.net/11401/71289
dcterms.issued2012-12-01
dcterms.languageen_US
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dcterms.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2015-04-24T14:46:54Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 3 Kappe_grad.sunysb_0771E_11244.pdf.jpg: 1894 bytes, checksum: a6009c46e6ec8251b348085684cba80d (MD5) Kappe_grad.sunysb_0771E_11244.pdf.txt: 195792 bytes, checksum: c220fb0c1b981c6b23ee28eb7ebb6f23 (MD5) Kappe_grad.sunysb_0771E_11244.pdf: 1283381 bytes, checksum: ca1ce133f79bf04351daf218ebe6d914 (MD5) Previous issue date: 1en
dcterms.publisherThe Graduate School, Stony Brook University: Stony Brook, NY.
dcterms.subjectPolitical Science
dcterms.subjectAsymmetric Retrospective Voting, Economic Voting, Political Economy, Prospect Theory, Voting
dcterms.titleAsymmetric Retrospective Voting: A Theoretical Model and Empirical Evidence of Negativity Effects in Voters' Response to the Economy
dcterms.typeDissertation


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